I was thinking LED would last longer.
The 'promise' of LED lasting nearly forever does not seem to be working out well. When they first came out I added a number of them to the Oregon house and almost universally they failed within 2 years. However, I think the manufacturers have learned and newer ones seem better built and last longer.
The new house has all LED fixtures, not bulbs. So if it fails you replace the whole fixture. I guess we will see how that works out.
Well, it may be pedantic, but I have found the LED's themselves DO have a long life. Its the driver circuitry that fails. I have disassembled MANY of the ceiling fixtures as they died, and find in ALL so far the LED is fine. The driver circuit is dead. Swap the box on top, and the LED works fine. One thing we found was to make sure NO insulation covers them. They need to shed the heat or die.
In the automotive ones, the 'little black specks' on the boards are dropdown resistors. They tend to overheat, and blow. Like when you see portions of a traffic or truck light out. Once again, the LED is fine, the driver circuitry is under engineered. On the ones that were not coated, I put a new surface mount resistor on the board and it worked fine.
I found the same thing with the 'new' (2009 or so..) flatscreen monitors and TV's. Replace 2-6 capacitors on the driver board with higher rated ones, and it works GREAT! I fixed one for the maintenance office in 2010, and it STILL in service. Likewise with the GE fridges that 'howled'. New power control board fixed it, but at ~$200 each installed. Replaced 4 caps on each board, after some excavating of the sealant, and they worked FINE until the door rusted out.
So the guarantee of the LED itself working is valid. The support system that allows it to work.....not so much. Engineered a little tight IMO. I will use the bulbs, but sealed fixtures and touch switches I am not fond of.